After a calamitous Week 15 collapse, the Patriots (7-7) host the surging Bengals (10-4) for a pivotal Week 16 AFC clash this Saturday. The 'feels-like' temperature at kickoff could be in the single-digits, with New England's weather as chilly as its fans' reactions to its disastrous lateral luck at the end of last week's lo s to the Raiders. We haveall the odds, betting tips, storylines, and predictions to get you prepped for this huge conference battle.Nobody has been hotter than Cincinnati over the past couple months, with six consecutive wins and only one L since October 16. Joe Burrow has looked superb, even more so since top wideout Ja'Marr Chase returned from injury. Both have been selected to the Pro Bowl alongside leading pa s-rusher Trey Hendrickson.As for New England, Matthew Judon has sacked his way to the Pro Bowl for the fourth time but he'll have a Jerry Rice Jersey lonely flight to Vegas this February. No other Patriot has been selected to the Pro Bowl, yet another reminder of the unusual mediocrity of Bill Belichick's squad.WEEK 16 NFL PICKS: | The Bengals have historically struggled to beat the Patriots, but these two teams look much different than they have for quite some time. Let's take a look at the odds for this one, discu s some storylines, and declare our betting tips and predictions.MORE NFL: Spread:Bengals -3(-110); Patriots +3(-110)Total:OVER 41.5(-110); UNDER 41.5(-110)Moneyline:Bengals -150; Patriots +126According to BetQL's , this one started at -3, shifted to -3.5 at the start of this week, and then landed back to - Colin Kaepernick Jersey 3. The total has also basically stayed the same since its open at 42.5, creeping down just one point as the temperatures in Foxboro dropped. New England owns a 17-9 all-time record against the Bengals, having beaten Cincy in seven of the past eight and 10 of the past 12 meetings. Cincinnati has not defeated the Patriots in Foxboro since 1986, when Bengals head coach Zac Taylor was three years old. The Bengals are an NFL-leading 11-3 against the spread this season, while the Patriots are 7-6-1 ATS. New England has gone 0-2 as home underdogs this season. The OVER has hit in just six of New England's 14 games this season, and in just five of Cincy's games. Burrow has gone 12-4 in Cincinnati's past 16 away games. He has logged 19 of his 31 pa sing TDs on the road this season.MORE WEEK 16 NFL: Can New England's offense keep up?Bill Belichick's squad has been very good, as always. Judon is one sack off the NFL lead, safety Kyle Dugger has been a revelation, and the cornerback duo of Jack and Jonathan Jones has been awesome to watch. But Cincy's offense, led by Burrow and stud receivers Chase and Tee Higgins, could be one of New England's stiffest test of the season. And Mac Jones might not have enough firepower to keep up with Burrow and the boys. Offensive play-caller Matt Patricia, formerly the defensive coordinator in New England, has often looked overmatched and out of his element throughout the season. The Pats hit a new low last week when Rhamondre Stevenson and Jakobi Meyers' lateral madne s resulted in a Chandler Jones intercepted scoop-and-score for the Raiders win. Patriots Nation might have seen New England's playoff hopes go down with Mac Jones when Chandler stiff-armed his face into the ground.Will the Bengals Kyle Juszczyk Jersey defense continue to impre s?Everyone who discu ses Cincinnati typically leads with its offense, which ranks top five in scoring and top 10 in total yardage. However, the Bengals D has been proficient as well this season, ranking top ten in scoring, red-zone D, first downs, takeaways, pa sing TDs, and rushing yards. The big question this week will be its containment of K'Waun Williams Jersey Pats lead back Stevenson Cincy held Tampa Bay to 53 rushing yards last week, and limited the Steelers to 62 ground yards a little over a month ago. But in the three games between those two contests, the Bengals allowed an average of 132 rushing yards. New England has won five of its past six games when rushing for 98 yards or more.How much longer will Mac Jones last?What a difference a year makes. Jones, the 2021 Pro Bowler and Offensive Rookie of the Year runner-up, has come crashing back to Earth in his sophomore season like a Hollywood meteor. He has just one game with two TDs this season, and just seven TDs to eight interceptions on the year. He has made his frustrations with the oft-lackluster play-calling quite clear throughout the campaign, sometimes even appearing to show up the coaching staff on national television. The dynasty days are a distant memory for Patriots Nation. 5-2.That's New England's record when it turns opponents over two or more times. Even better, the Pats have won their past four games in which they logged at least two takeaways. That will be a tall order, though Cincy has turned the ball over just twice over its past four games, and has just two games with two turnovers since opening week. While we have mild concerns about the brutal cold in New England right now, the winds are below the 15 miles per hour mark we typically start to really worry about for pa sing games. Burrow has been a far superior QB than Jones this season, and his arsenal of weapons acro s Bradley Pinion Jersey the board makes New England's skill-player nucleus look like a practice squad. With the Bengals playing well on both sides of the ball and the Pats looking one more bad lo s away from a complete organizational collapse, we're rolling with the Bengals to finally take down the beast that is home-field Belichick.PREDICTION: Bengals 20, Patriots 17. Cincinnati wins but fails to cover (buy a half-point!), while the game finishes UNDER (41.5).